Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 11.128652 12.698474 14.415580 16.434060 18.743120 21.303655 24.360636
2026-02-08 8.785394 10.794961 13.163056 16.162827 19.866946 24.298189 30.013021
2026-02-15 7.390513 9.568513 12.273919 15.887753 20.599595 26.550079 34.660681
2026-02-22 6.761987 9.142886 12.232557 16.546161 22.431617 30.208634 41.312301
2026-03-01 6.138588 8.617597 11.958841 16.806210 23.686430 33.144079 47.206165
2026-03-08 5.531470 8.029479 11.512034 16.740690 24.429161 35.378596 52.262864
2026-03-15 5.005885 7.491289 11.064600 16.600143 25.007260 37.374482 57.093301
2026-03-22 4.745587 7.307563 11.098934 17.147741 26.618211 40.981826 64.618458
2026-03-29 4.494530 7.108029 11.081445 17.597718 28.095122 44.479107 72.252477
2026-04-05 4.307163 6.985771 11.163561 18.196291 29.836476 48.505709 81.059779
2026-04-12 3.925941 6.517390 10.655663 17.792060 29.903323 49.824404 85.483907
2026-04-19 3.609064 6.125695 10.235851 17.488994 30.096527 51.340548 90.335382
2026-04-26 3.321626 5.763267 9.840949 17.203554 30.309831 52.931782 95.509645
2026-05-03 3.062892 5.428246 9.464444 16.915143 30.487061 54.464090 100.701442
2026-05-10 2.830956 5.120191 9.107927 16.627147 30.630190 55.928675 105.868593
2026-05-17 2.771867 5.116422 9.285845 17.316975 32.609346 60.865803 117.973699
2026-05-24 2.654996 4.996352 9.242687 17.589447 33.822584 64.467402 127.809632
2026-05-31 2.500671 4.793412 9.030177 17.520797 34.370764 66.838833 135.408843
2026-06-07 2.349160 4.583736 8.788343 17.373536 34.747458 68.896178 142.535065
2026-06-14 2.297996 4.564912 8.908801 17.947299 36.603190 74.014613 156.409551
2026-06-21 2.237004 4.521470 8.976944 18.418794 38.284177 78.904950 170.223146
2026-06-28 2.196054 4.514974 9.116811 19.046011 40.334711 84.710188 186.510422
2026-07-05 2.046904 4.274811 8.767216 18.622433 40.123355 85.742721 192.373197